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uttar pradesh election: Can BJP pull off a repeat efficiency in Uttar Pradesh?

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(This story initially appeared in on Jan 08, 2022)

The stage has been set for the high-stake 2022 electoral battle in Uttar Pradesh. The Election Fee on Saturday introduced a 7-phase ballot schedule for the state with voting for first part on February 10 and the final part on March 7. The outcomes will likely be out on March 10.

The 2022 meeting elections in Uttar Pradesh will likely be a litmus take a look at for the ruling Bharatiya Janata Occasion (BJP) because it goes all out to not simply retain energy within the state but in addition match its historic 2017 efficiency.

How essential Uttar Pradesh is for the BJP within the run as much as the 2024 Lok Sabha elections might be gauged by the truth that Prime Minister Narendra Modi has visited the state 10 instances within the final two months. PM Modi, together with chief minister Yogi Adityanath, has inaugurated quite a few tasks within the state, together with essential expressways.

graph-1TNN

The Uttar Pradesh chief minister has gone all out to woo the voters of the state as he leads the BJP marketing campaign from the entrance within the high-stakes election.

In 2017 elections, the BJP had scripted a historic victory within the state – successful 312 meeting seats with a vote share of almost 40 per cent.

This was the BJP’s finest efficiency in Uttar Pradesh because it acquired into the electoral fray within the state in 1980.

graph-2TNN

The get together not simply received the utmost variety of seats, it additionally registered its best-ever vote share and the very best strike charge within the state.

graph-3TNN

graph-4TNN

The hallmark of the 2017 meeting elections in Uttar Pradesh was the variety of seats the BJP gained and in addition the massive lack of seats for the Samajwadi Occasion, which was ruling the state from 2012.

Whereas the BJP gained 272 seats, the Samajwadi Occasion misplaced 188 seats. The Bahujan Samaj Occasion and the Congress had been the opposite main losers within the electoral battle of 2017.

Right here’s a take a look at how the meeting seats had been flipped in 2017.

graph-5TNN

The 2017 elections in Uttar Pradesh had put the BJP on the highest within the run as much as the 2019 Lok Sabha elections. The BJP received over 60 Lok Sabha seats within the state serving to the get together safe an enormous victory within the 2019 nationwide elections.

Now, because the get together gears as much as match its efficiency within the 2022 Uttar Pradesh meeting elections, it’s conscious of the probably influence that the outcomes of those polls may have on the 2024 Lok Sabha elections.

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